← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | no settled market | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | — | $230K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | 59% (80 of 136 open) | 68% (111 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | Nets $561 | Pelicans $3.9K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | Nuggets $77 | Nuggets $5.1K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | Nuggets $59 | Nuggets $22K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | Spurs $83 | Spurs $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | Nets $5 | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2 | Under $30K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $3 | Lakers $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5 | Over $5.3K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | Under $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $682 | — | Thunder $4.2K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | Over $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $13 | Bucks $3.3K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $21 | Over $2.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $40 | Under $791 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $3 | Magic $239 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Spurs $2 | Bulls $232 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | Under $121 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $37 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4 | Under $9 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3 | Under $9 | — |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | — | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5 | Under $37K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $279 | Magic $14K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $154 | Bulls $10K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $22 | Over $9.7K | — |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $6 | Flyers $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $2.0K | Lakers $36 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $19 | Under $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $2 | Bucks $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $5 | Bucks $1.6K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $76 | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $279 | — | Grizzlies $764 | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | — | Boise State Broncos $42 | Boise State Broncos $829 | — |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $24 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $11 | Over $308 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $2 | Bucks $95 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $23 | Nets $66 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18 | Over $4 | — |