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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4–4, n=8) | 74% (228–82, n=310) | 53% (270–236, n=506) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $2.3K | $279K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (67 of 119 open) | 74% (48 of 65 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=90 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 49% (won 7% of 85) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 15% (won 37% of 27) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 15% (won 70% of 27) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 21% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ferdinand2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $30 | Raptors $343 | — |
| Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus IU Indy Jaguars | — | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $4 | IU Indy Jaguars $3 | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $40 | Under $7.3K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears same side · consensus USC Trojans | — | USC Trojans $39 | USC Trojans $6.4K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $32 | Vikings $6.2K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $43 | Vikings $5.6K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15 | Under $1.8K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $15 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $35 | Over $1.4K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5 | Over $1.4K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $77 | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $56 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 160.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15 | Under $935 | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) same side · consensus Kraken | — | Kraken $36 | Kraken $845 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3 | Over $706 | — |
| Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5) same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders | — | Furman Paladins $33 | Furman Paladins $452 | — |
| Monmouth Hawks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 147.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $21 | Under $360 | — |
| Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5) same side · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys | — | Texas A&M Aggies $23 | Texas A&M Aggies $232 | — |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars | — | Loyola Marymount Lions $3 | Loyola Marymount Lions $14 | — |