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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $430K | $230K | $208K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (80 of 136 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 68% (111 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | Under $30K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Bucks $3 | — | Lakers $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | Over $5.3K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $28 | — | Under $5.0K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $561 | — | Pelicans $3.9K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $6 | — | Over $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $13 | — | Bucks $3.3K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $21 | — | Over $2.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $40 | — | Under $791 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3 | — | Magic $239 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Spurs $2 | — | Bulls $232 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | Under $121 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $9 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3 | — | Under $9 | — |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | — | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | Under $37K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nuggets $59 | — | Nuggets $22K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $279 | — | Magic $14K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $154 | — | Bulls $10K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $22 | — | Over $9.7K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $83 | — | Spurs $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $5 | — | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $77 | — | Nuggets $5.1K | — |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | Flyers $6 | — | Flyers $4.3K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $2 | — | Bucks $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $5 | — | Bucks $1.6K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $76 | — | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Boise State Broncos $42 | — | Boise State Broncos $829 | — |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $24 | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $11 | — | Over $308 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $2 | — | Bucks $95 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $23 | — | Nets $66 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $18 | — | Over $4 | — |