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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99sashasasha5
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)47% (728–821, n=1549)53% (568–497, n=1065)49% (21–22, n=43)
Consensus PnL$829K$718K$613K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #14PM monthly #76PM monthly #935
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)60% (52 of 87 open)59% (47 of 80 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)7% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)34% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 8)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)28% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)31% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99sashasasha5
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $73KHornets $34KHornets $415—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $155K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $1.0KCeltics $39K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $194Over $29K—
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Flyers $11KOilers $15K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $8.7KRaptors $13K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.4KOver $6.5K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.8KOver $692—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.8KUnder $3.2K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.1KUnder $211—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $56Seahawks $4.0K—
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—49ers $40Cowboys $1.8K—
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $299Rams $9—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $56Over $194—
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $38KOver $3.3K—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
—Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $17KRockets $72—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $12KLakers $548—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Clippers $2.7KClippers $5.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $5.5KJazz $64—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8KUnder $284—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $1.2KTeam Spirit $1.1K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $857Under $1.1K—
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
—Cardinals $42Cardinals $1.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $556Under $647—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11Under $776—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13Under $472—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $6Under $294—
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
—Utah Utes $19Utah Utes $153—