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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788juliuscheesarkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)86% (18–3, n=21)47% (728–821, n=1549)53% (568–497, n=1065)
Consensus PnL$829K$16K$718K$613K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #970PM monthly #14PM monthly #76
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)58% (49 of 85 open)59% (47 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 14)4% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 8)22% (won 100% of 6)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)70% (won 100% of 19)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788juliuscheesarkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $73K—Hornets $34KHornets $424
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $52Team Spirit $1.2KTeam Spirit $1.1K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $155K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $1.0KCeltics $39K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $194Over $29K
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Flyers $11KOilers $15K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Knicks $8.7KRaptors $12K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.4KOver $6.5K
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.8KOver $692
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.8KUnder $3.2K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.1KUnder $211
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $56Seahawks $4.0K
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——49ers $40Cowboys $1.8K
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $299Rams $9
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $56Over $177
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $38KOver $3.2K
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
——Steelers $19KSteelers $317
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $17KRockets $72
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $12KLakers $548
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Clippers $2.7KClippers $5.0K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $5.4KJazz $64
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.8KUnder $284
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $857Under $1.1K
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
——Cardinals $42Cardinals $1.8K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $506Under $647
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $11Under $776
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13Under $472
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $6Under $294
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
——Utah Utes $19Utah Utes $153