Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99tsihkodiives
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)54% (424–365, n=789)55% (372–304, n=676)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$590K$376K$436K$4.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #9PM monthly #89PM monthly #834
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (79 of 115 open)51% (37 of 73 open)27% (8 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99tsihkodiives
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.5KHouston $3.0K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K—
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $2.5KMavericks $89—
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5KUSC $2—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $938Houston $547—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
—Mississippi State $393Auburn $373—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $1.5K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.2K—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
—Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Colorado
—Colorado $257Colorado $2.5K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $202—
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KUnder $5—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.1KHeat $46—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $861—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $265South Carolina $546—
Spread: Houston (-8.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Houston $483Houston $164—
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
—BYU $291BYU $348—
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
—Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $445Pelicans $93—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $46Kraken $57—