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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99sashasasha5
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)53% (568–497, n=1065)49% (21–22, n=43)
Consensus PnL$829K$539K$613K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #7PM monthly #76PM monthly #935
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)52% (93 of 180 open)59% (47 of 80 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)13% (won 41% of 104)7% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 335)25% (won 70% of 203)34% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 8)11% (won 62% of 157)45% (won 78% of 370)28% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 326)18% (won 97% of 149)31% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99sashasasha5
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1149ers $109K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $73K—Hornets $415—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $161Over $6.5K—
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $4Raptors $5.4K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $30Under $1.8K—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $138Raptors $1.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $135Celtics $1.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $854Celtics $285—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $410Under $647—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $101Lakers $548—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $405Jazz $64—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Wizards $182Rockets $90—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $194—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2KCeltics $39K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $548Raptors $13K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $143Mavericks $11K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $368Under $3.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Jazz $1.5KJazz $638—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KUnder $211—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $924Under $294—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $446Under $472—
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $22Celtics $571—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $305Under $192—
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $247Celtics $155—
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $187Spurs $199—
Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers
same side · consensus Pacific Tigers
—Air Force Falcons $15Air Force Falcons $50—