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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| l..messi | Flaznorp | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (17420–17304, n=34724) |
| Consensus PnL | $84K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $2.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #111 | was PM monthly #584 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (117 of 164 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 55% (73 of 133 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 8% (won 60% of 989) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 87% of 2698) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 38% (won 95% of 4911) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 34% (won 99% of 4332) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | l..messi | Flaznorp | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $49K | — | Yes $40 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | — | Over $7 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $1.9K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.7K | — | Yes $5 |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Samir Banerjee $1.5K | — | Mitchell Krueger $273 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $11 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $704 | — | 76ers $676 |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $873 | — | Pistons $314 |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $995 | — | No $176 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $601 | — | Pistons $446 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $537 | — | Over $273 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $651 | — | Yes $138 |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | — | Yes $428 |
| Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $543 | — | No $4 |
| Nagasaki Velca vs. Sendai 89ers opposite sides · consensus Sendai 89ers | — | Sendai 89ers $244 | — | Nagasaki Velca $194 |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $362 | — | Yes $8 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $222 | — | Over $42 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | — | Over $170 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $132K | — | No $54K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $37K | — | No $19 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $32K | — | No $1.2K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $25K | — | No $110 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $12K | Yes $4 |
| Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.1K | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $4.6K | — | Janice Tjen $3 |
| Will CA Lanús win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $35 | — | Yes $2.7K |
| Real Madrid vs. CB Murcia same side · consensus Real Madrid | — | Real Madrid $1.4K | — | Real Madrid $550 |
| Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $36 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $390 | — | Over $469 |
| Sport Boys Association vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $104 | — | Over $748 |
| Exact Score: Riga FC 0 - 0 FC RFS? same side · consensus No | — | No $508 | — | No $41 |
| Scafati Basket vs. Napoli Basketball same side · consensus Scafati Basket | — | Scafati Basket $287 | — | Scafati Basket $225 |
| Heat vs. Kings same side · consensus Heat | — | Kings $352 | — | Kings $60 |
| Karsiyaka vs. Besiktas same side · consensus Besiktas | — | Karsiyaka $306 | — | Karsiyaka $38 |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $339 | — | Under $4 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks same side · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $298 | — | Bucks $42 |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $301 | — | No $31 |
| Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | Yes $72 |
| Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | Yes $9 |