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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bot-rapin | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (33–0, n=33) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $58K | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #501 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 65% (143 of 221 open) | 57% (39 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 25 at avg 96¢, ROI +21% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 96% (won 100% of 24) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bot-rapin | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | Over $1.8K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 | Cavaliers $708 |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.9K | — | Yes $659 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | — | — | Tomas Etcheverry $4.6K | Max Dahlin $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | — | Tom Gentzsch $5.2K | Max Houkes $698 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $872 | Over $3.0K |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.7K | — | No $39 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $146 | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | No $213 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $36 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $516 | Over $241 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $626 | Over $17 |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $619 | Yes $7 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $412 | Under $56 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $148 | Yes $85 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Nuggets $25 | Rockets $146 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $140 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $17 | — | No $55 | — |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | — | — | Clement Tabur $2.1K | Clement Tabur $25K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.4K |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.0K | Under $4.4K |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.9K | — | No $93 | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.8K | Over $88 | — |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $636 | Under $2.6K |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.7K | No $45 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux | — | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Pelicans $1.8K | Pelicans $158 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $556 | Lakers $485 |
| Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $264 | No $667 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $333 | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $364 | Lakers $416 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $578 | No $34 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | — | Pistons $186 | Pistons $248 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $31 | Under $261 |