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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6455–6056, n=12511)53% (2489–2225, n=4714)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$12K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #11was PM monthly #981PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (128 of 178 open)64% (47 of 74 open)53% (17 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 96% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 333)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 527)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 97% of 147)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $8.5KTommy Paul $10Ben Shelton $24K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
—Nishesh Basavareddy $69Jerome Kym $9Jerome Kym $275
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $496Noma Noha Akugue $8Noma Noha Akugue $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $853—Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $585—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $893—Yes $2
Will FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $401No $300—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $312—No $12
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Kicker
——Oriol Roca Batalla $10Nicolas Kicker $223
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $213No $9—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $197Under $2—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183Under $10—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129SD Eibar $5—
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $122Under $7—
Will Lamphun Warriors FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $66Yes $47
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1Under $31—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $26K—Alexandra Eala $48K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $5.6K—Mai Hontama $6.6K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $21—
Will FC Vizela win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KYes $882—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $1.0K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.3KNo $4—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $6—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KOver $9—
Will Al Ahli Doha SC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $989No $450—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $11—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $9—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $913No $82—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $604No $378—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $870No $10—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494No $304—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $551Over $10—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $512No $9—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $211No $114—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $296No $10—
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $294No $10—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42