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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5890–5273, n=11163)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (130 of 193 open)53% (19 of 36 open)64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $941Under $21K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KNo $1.5KYes $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $927Over $2.9KUnder $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $7No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $44No $1.2KYes $47
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $117Yes $162No $288
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.9KNo $1.6KNo $3.6K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $4.2KTalia Gibson $1.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $559—Yes $162
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495—Yes $192
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
—Aoi Ito $92Katie Swan $281—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $191—Yes $2
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $94—Yes $3
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
—Naho Sato $26Jia-Jing Lu $60—
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Antonia Stoyanov
—Alisa Oktiabreva $54Antonia Stoyanov $19—
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $57—Under $4
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $46—Yes $3
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39KUnder $45—
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harris
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
—Jan Kumstat $6.9KJan Kumstat $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $503—No $16K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $639—Under $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
—Yujia Huang $85Yujia Huang $2.1K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $161
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379No $662—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $749—Yes $273
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $163—Under $741
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $304—Under $402
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $666—Over $5
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Yuzuha Negishi $169Yuzuha Negishi $105—
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
—Sara Saito $2Sara Saito $228—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $206—CD Pamplona $10
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $44
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
—Benjamin Pietri $13Benjamin Pietri $76—