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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | shineforeverr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 60% (48–32, n=80) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $426K | $500K | $318 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (82 of 123 open) | 43% (29 of 68 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 25% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | 34% (won 100% of 17) | 50% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | 44% (won 100% of 22) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | 18% (won 100% of 9) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | shineforeverr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $95K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | Vanderbilt $983 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $2.4K | Mavericks $90 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $13 | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $392 | Auburn $370 | — | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 | — | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K | — |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus FURIA | — | Team Falcons $731 | Team Falcons $197K | — |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $243 | Gen.G $44K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 | — | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | Browns $1.1K | — | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | Under $200 | — | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | Under $5 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | Heat $46 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | Over $870 | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $263 | South Carolina $542 | — | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $297 | BYU $355 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $459 | Pelicans $96 | — | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | Texas A&M $524 | — | — |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes same side · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | Kraken $51 | — | — |