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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardiammillionairenigiri99Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)54% (448–384, n=832)no settled market55% (392–321, n=713)68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$332K—$426K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #714PM monthly #107was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensus64% (121 of 189 open)no open consensus position46% (31 of 68 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)—14% (won 37% of 79)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 68)—24% (won 59% of 138)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 127)—43% (won 72% of 243)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 15)—19% (won 98% of 107)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardiammillionairenigiri99Zzzz87
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $4.6K—Pelicans $103—
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
UConn $2.2K—James Madison $1.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $3.1K—Nets $14—
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
Alabama $1.5K—Vanderbilt $983—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
Indiana $2.4K—USC $2—
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
Ohio State $438—Northwestern $1.9K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $516—Over $844—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
Mississippi State $382—Auburn $370—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
Alabama $63—Vanderbilt $13—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12K—Over $1.5K—
Spread: Yale (-3.5)
same side · consensus Yale
Princeton $135—Princeton $11K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
Indiana $6.4K—Indiana $911—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $99Mavericks $6.7K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
Kennesaw State $2.9K—Kennesaw State $1.3K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Browns $2.3K—Browns $1.2K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5K—Under $200—
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt $2.1K—Vanderbilt $542—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Jaguars $1.1K—Jaguars $1.3K—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Under $5—
Spread: Butler (-7.5)
same side · consensus Marist
Butler $542—Butler $942—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $1.1K—Colts $3—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $1.0K—Heat $45—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6—Over $861—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
South Carolina $263—South Carolina $542—
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
BYU $297—BYU $355—
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
Texas A&M $23—Texas A&M $519—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
Kraken $41—Kraken $51—