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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)49% (33–34, n=67)75% (9–3, n=12)50% (65–65, n=130)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$35K$84K-$53K-$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #40PM monthly #34 + pinnedwas PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus71% (178 of 252 open)no open consensus position52% (49 of 95 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)40% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)36% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $1.2K—Rockets $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9K—Over $71—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $445—Under $1.4K—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $225—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $836—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $162—Cavaliers $726—
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $689—Rockets $119—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $93—Rockets $669—
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Warriors $481—Pelicans $128—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $316—Under $108—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Grizzlies $41—Raptors $126—
Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $94—Yes $34—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $2.8K—Clement Tabur $19K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.5K—Under $14K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
Nicolas Jarry $2.3K—Nicolas Jarry $11K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K—No $262—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $3.4K—Rockets $1.5K—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $894—Under $2.7K—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $605—Rockets $2.5K—
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $559—
Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8K—No $487—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K—Over $1.0K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $158—
Lima: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
Facundo Mena $396—Facundo Mena $945—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $94—Under $1.1K—
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
No $739—No $263—
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $680—Suns $245—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $333—Lakers $514—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $582—No $230—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $364—Lakers $416—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $278—No $426—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $315—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Pistons $178—Pistons $243—
Plymouth Parkway FC vs. Berkhamsted FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $351—Under $69—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $174—Cavaliers $115—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162—Raptors $116—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $256—Rockets $13—