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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplucianow34RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)57% (625–479, n=1104)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$16K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #910PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus75% (253 of 338 open)no open consensus position53% (83 of 156 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NBA −4 pts, n=26—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 24% of 55)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)34% (won 44% of 351)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 69% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)12% (won 86% of 125)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplucianow34RN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $9.3K—Yes $3.2K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K—Yes $240—
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6.1K—Yes $3.5K—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.2K—Under $42—
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $7.0K—Real Sociedad de Fútbol $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $823—No $5.2K—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1—
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.1K—Yes $128—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $3.0K—
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
AIK $3.5K—BK Hacken $123—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K—Under $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K—No $336—
Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K—Under $267—
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9K—Yes $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0K—Over $407—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Over $23—
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $5—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Under $6—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $33—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
opposite sides · consensus Emile Hudd
Emile Hudd $270—Justin Boulais $584—
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $438—Yes $2—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19—Yes $80—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24—Yes $43—
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $57—Over $1—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $85K—Yes $20K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $50K—No $4.8K—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $27K—No $17K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37K—Yes $6.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $29K—No $6.0K—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $28K—Under $7.1K—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $26K—No $8.7K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $24K—No $9.1K—
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
same side · consensus Como 1907
FC Internazionale Milano $5.9K—FC Internazionale Milano $14K—
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $11K—Under $8.6K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $15K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.1K—Yes $6.1K—
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9K—No $7.8K—
Orleans: Luka Pavlovic vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Luka Pavlovic
Hugo Grenier $4.3K—Hugo Grenier $6.3K—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.6K—Yes $1.8K—
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Groningen
FC Groningen $4.1K—FC Groningen $6.1K—
Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.2K—Yes $5.8K—