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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677oihiuhiuhRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)87% (46–7, n=53)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$29K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #933PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (144 of 223 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)57% (40 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 33 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 100% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)27% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)42% (won 100% of 14)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)18% (won 100% of 6)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677oihiuhiuhRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $1.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $4.6K——Max Dahlin $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch $5.2K——Max Houkes $698
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Under $36
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169——Cavaliers $708
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $516——Over $241
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $626——Over $17
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $619——Yes $7
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $412——Under $56
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $148——Yes $85
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $25——Rockets $146
Knoxville: Daniel Milavsky vs Kenta Miyoshi
opposite sides · consensus Kenta Miyoshi
Daniel Milavsky $8——Kenta Miyoshi $1
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $2.1K——Clement Tabur $25K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K——Billy Harris $6.2K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0K——Under $4.4K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $636——Under $2.6K
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $45
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $1.8K——Pelicans $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $556——Lakers $485
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
No $264——No $667
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $333——Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $364——Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $578——No $34
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Pistons $186——Pistons $248
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $31——Under $261
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $290——No $2
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170——Cavaliers $115
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162——Raptors $116
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $77——Under $196
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $90——Under $114
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51——Over $29
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4——Under $36