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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | NM-P | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6615–6145, n=12760) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 82% (5443–1157, n=6600) | 50% (20890–20591, n=41481) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $5.3M | $48K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #510 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (80 of 106 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (50 of 73 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | NM-P | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $20 | No $1.1K |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $24 | — |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $55 | — |
| Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $915 | — | Under $35 | — |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | Miami (FL) $409 | — | Notre Dame $358 | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $621 | — | No $144 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $553 | — | No $42 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Cardinals $159 | — | Seahawks $403 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $64 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Broncos $298 | — | Panthers $181 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $139 | — | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | — | Athletic Club $218 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2 | No $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $494 | — | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | — | No $749 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | No $266 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $886 | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $489 | — |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $142 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $337 | — | — | Under $755 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $8 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | — | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $155 | — | No $794 | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $359 | — | No $454 | — |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $214 | — | No $467 | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $512 | — | No $3 | — |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $314 | — | Yes $201 | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $91 | — | No $326 | — |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $222 | — | Yes $18 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | — | CD Pamplona $6 |