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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)44% (47–61, n=108)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$54K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #858PM monthly #56PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (223 of 293 open)100% (1 of 1 open)56% (5 of 9 open)53% (69 of 131 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +5 pts n=47, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=23, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −11 pts, n=31——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%44% of 106 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 31% of 13)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)56% (won 39% of 59)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)32% (won 59% of 34)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdprimmRN1
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165—Lions $28K—
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12K——No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $60
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9.5K——Yes $173
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin $8.5K——SC Freiburg $2
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K——Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $826——No $5.2K
Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.6K——Yes $1.9K
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8K——No $336
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K——Under $2.3K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $4.8K——Manchester United FC $12
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K——Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $25
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K——Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.2K——Over $205
Will FC Salzburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $116
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $274
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $5
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K——Yes $97
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K——Under $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $440——Yes $18
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $178——Yes $31
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $35——Under $8
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20——Yes $1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $64K——No $19K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $60K——Yes $13K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $51K——No $4.8K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $38K——No $13K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $30K——No $9.2K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $19K——Aston Villa FC $1.1K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $8.7K
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13K——Yes $6.3K
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $13K——No $5.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K——Over $4.3K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $13K——Over $1.7K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K——Under $71
Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.4K——Yes $6.3K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.4K——Yes $1.7K
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.0K——No $3.0K