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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market55% (370–304, n=674)63% (48–28, n=76)
Consensus PnL$395K$0$436K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #95PM monthly #12 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (106 of 178 open)no open consensus position51% (53 of 103 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $875Thunder $146K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $14KThunder $3.8K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K—Over $425—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $454—Yes $1.3K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Over $273—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $369—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $926—Yes $368—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $172—Kings $596—
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $19—Trail Blazers $452—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $203—Thunder $11—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $105—Under $77—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $80—Over $11—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $11—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Team Falcons $985Team Falcons $136K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $1.2K—Thunder $2.5K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9K—Over $70—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.8K—Clippers $15—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $14—Colorado $731—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $78—Predators $423—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-26.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $455—Trail Blazers $13—
Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo
same side · consensus Juncheng Shang
Christian Langmo $185—Christian Langmo $33—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $35—Kings $27—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $30—Under $20—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $7—Kings $36—