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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)100% (12–0, n=12)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$22K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #939PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus74% (142 of 193 open)no open consensus position58% (89 of 154 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports ±0 pts, n=10—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)0%35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllRN1S-Works
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17K—No $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $11K—Under $773—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $10K—Under $2—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.8K—Yes $643—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $6.8K—Olympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 $4.5K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $152—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $299—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K—No $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $761—Under $175—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334—Under $7—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $200—Under $46—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $109K—No $34K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $16K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $8.0K—Over $25K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $19K—Under $12K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $15K—No $11K—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $4.6K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13K—Over $10K—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $13K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $1.4K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.1K—No $2.9K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.4K—Over $3.5K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3K—No $3.0K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.4K—No $5—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.7K—Yes $1.7K—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3K—No $363—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.6K—Over $895—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9K—No $274—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
Andres Martin $2.8K—Andres Martin $22—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk $309—Marta Kostyuk $2.3K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $820—No $1.6K—
Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
same side · consensus Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos $1.3K—Boise State Broncos $929—
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—Yes $234—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos
same side · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
Western Michigan Broncos $930—Western Michigan Broncos $732—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $100—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $7—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $746—Under $468—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $797—76ers $371—
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $778—No $296—