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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardNdjdnrru33Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)53% (481–419, n=900)no settled market58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$501K$363K$0$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #7PM monthly #783was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus47% (81 of 172 open)64% (147 of 229 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)—58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)—33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardNdjdnrru33Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $358Under $8.1K——
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $2Georgia Southern $6.8K——
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $10Cavaliers $5.0K——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $637South Carolina $258——
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337——
South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4Under $286——
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $153——
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $229Providence Friars $3——
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108Under $65——
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
San Francisco Dons $42Portland State Vikings $52——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2Nets $11——
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $18K——
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
Kansas $7Kansas $14K——
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves
Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.8KCharleston Southern Buccaneers $3.6K——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $84Under $4.1K——
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $135Cavaliers $3.8K——
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $241Cavaliers $3.3K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $75Cavaliers $2.1K——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $1.1K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $81Under $766——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7Under $702——
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $38Under $632——
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
Blackhawks $295Blackhawks $121——
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $181Mavericks $115——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21Under $229——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $56Under $112——