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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (16–14, n=30) | 71% (2239–910, n=3149) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $586K | $432K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 49% (163 of 330 open) | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 5% of 396) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 22% (won 41% of 215) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 11% (won 63% of 112) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 94% of 265) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | Nets $16K |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Wales | — | — | Wales $16K | Norway $5 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $11K | Yes $2.7K |
| Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $3.5K | Yes $210 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.5K | Under $36 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.6K | Yes $1.7K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.2K | Yes $373 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $423 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $12 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | Arkansas $625 | South Carolina $542 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Cavaliers $1.0K | Mavericks $105 |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $197 | Over $351 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $435 | Over $11 |
| Spread: Wales (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Norway | — | — | Norway $60 | Wales $140 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nets $4.3K | Nets $25K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $377 | Heat $15K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nets $98 | Nets $8.6K |
| Norway vs. Wales: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $276 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.5K | Under $9 |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $987 | Yes $5 |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $689 | No $63 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | — | — | Kansas $3 | Kansas $649 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Duke $314 | Duke $337 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | — | — | Georgia State $6 | Georgia State $520 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | — | Cincinnati $13 | Cincinnati $228 |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $41 | Over $105 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $41 | Yes $3 |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $12 | Under $5 |