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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2239–910, n=3149) | 55% (393–322, n=715) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $432K | $426K | $386K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #107 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (164 of 331 open) | 54% (85 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 396) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 215) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 63% of 112) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 265) | 20% (won 98% of 118) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | Nets $16K | — |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | Yes $3.8K | — |
| Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.5K | Yes $210 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | Under $36 | — |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.6K | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | Yes $373 | — |
| Will Austria win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | Yes $423 | — |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | Over $12 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $625 | South Carolina $542 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.0K | Mavericks $105 | — |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | Over $351 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $435 | Over $11 | — |
| Spread: Wales (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Norway | — | Norway $60 | Wales $140 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $4.3K | Nets $25K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $377 | Heat $15K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $98 | Nets $8.6K | — |
| Norway vs. Wales: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.7K | Under $276 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | Under $9 | — |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | Yes $987 | Yes $5 | — |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $689 | No $63 | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | — | Kansas $3 | Kansas $649 | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Duke $314 | Duke $337 | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | Georgia State $520 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | Cincinnati $13 | Cincinnati $228 | — |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $41 | Over $105 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $41 | Yes $3 | — |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12 | Under $5 | — |