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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DegenKingBetterFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)64% (87–50, n=137)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$153K$3.3M$4.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #494PM monthly #16PM monthly #139PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)68% (181 of 267 open)73% (33 of 45 open)56% (87 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=66, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won68% of 130 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 0% of 6)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 67% of 27)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢72% (won 72% of 93)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 4)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDegenKingBetterFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daa
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16K—Yes $114
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
—CR Flamengo $8.8K—Grêmio FBPA $3
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $101—Yes $3.0K
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $375—Under $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $393
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286—Leyre Romero Gormaz $740
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $89—Yes $691
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $519—Under $203
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $296—Under $342
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $220—Wizards $331
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $538—Grizzlies $3
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Mika Stojsavljevic $37—Zeynep Sonmez $454
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $387—Yes $23
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197—Over $140
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $251—Yes $71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297—No $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $21—Under $273
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $11—Thunder $269
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $257—Over $5
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Senators $196—Sabres $15
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $150—Over $38
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $143—Over $28
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52—Under $43
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
—Justina Mikulskyte $2—Tiphanie Lemaitre $89
Mogi das Cruzes vs. Fortaleza Basquete Cearense
opposite sides · consensus Mogi das Cruzes
—Fortaleza Basquete Cearense $45—Mogi das Cruzes $34
M15 Trois-Rivières: Louis Wessels vs Aadarsh Tripathi
opposite sides · consensus Aadarsh Tripathi
—Louis Wessels $3—Aadarsh Tripathi $17
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $4—Pelicans $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3K—No $11K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $896
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.3K—No $173
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.1K—Yes $249
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Wizards $3.9K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $322
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $2.1K—Celtics $170
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $18
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $82—Giannicola Misasi $2.0K
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.6K—Pistons $42
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $28—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $1
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $118—Under $1.1K
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $30
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $595—Lakers $607
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
same side · consensus BC Aris Thessaloniki
—Hapoel Jerusalem $998—Hapoel Jerusalem $159
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $973—No $106
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $919—No $142
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
same side · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Maxwell McKennon $210
Charlottesville: Jack Kennedy vs Clement Chidekh
same side · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Clement Chidekh $1.0K—Clement Chidekh $6