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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)52% (591–550, n=1141)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$881K$533K$385K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #9PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position47% (109 of 234 open)62% (92 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 6% of 540)2% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢0%61% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 322)32% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 152)60% (won 100% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 319)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $1549ers $25K
Texans vs. Browns
opposite sides · consensus Texans
——Browns $14Texans $11K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Mavericks $147Celtics $4.5K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $4.4K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $628Over $3.2K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $45Over $1.9K
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers
opposite sides · consensus La Salle Explorers
——Temple Owls $73La Salle Explorers $745
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Bucks $163Hawks $532
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $323Under $146
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $183Jazz $70
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $40
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers
——Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $5.8K76ers $36K
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27K—Yes $3.8K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $620Seahawks $20K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $245Pacers $5.3K
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $4Spurs $5.4K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $125Suns $3.8K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Rockets $356Rockets $2.4K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $53Colts $2.4K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $90Raptors $2.3K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $374Spurs $1.9K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $50Under $1.9K
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
same side · consensus Louisville Cardinals
——Louisville Cardinals $442Louisville Cardinals $140
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
——Creighton Bluejays $172Creighton Bluejays $314
Boise State Broncos vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 158.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $197Over $235
Boise State Broncos vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
——Nebraska Cornhuskers $19Nebraska Cornhuskers $174
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $73Under $56
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——76ers $10076ers $16
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $46Under $54
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. James Madison Dukes
same side · consensus James Madison Dukes
——Mercyhurst Lakers $42Mercyhurst Lakers $56
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $10Celtics $82