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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fkALG2FalconsTES | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 78% (1338–370, n=1708) | 52% (6555–6124, n=12679) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $976K | $3.7M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #171 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (291 of 413 open) | 55% (47 of 86 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 92% of 1798 at avg 73¢, ROI +7% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 73% of 83) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 17% (won 84% of 298) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 25% (won 88% of 448) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 54% (won 98% of 969) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fkALG2FalconsTES | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo | — | — | Mika Brunold $7.5K | Borna Gojo $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego | — | — | Lorenzo Sonego $5.8K | Olle Wallin $38 |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.7K | Yes $2.7K |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.7K | Under $244 |
| Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.7K | Yes $252 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.6K | Yes $392 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $249 | No $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $95 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Will Korona Kielce win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $54 | Yes $830 |
| Korona Kielce vs. RKS Radomiak Radom: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2 | Under $613 |
| Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $361 | Yes $152 |
| Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | — | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $501 | Leeds United FC $1 |
| Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $342 | Yes $2 |
| Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $275 | Yes $27 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes | — | — | Damir Dzumhur $123 | Inaki Montes $169 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $141 | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $109 | Yes $8 |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | — | — | Leeds United FC $39 | Tottenham Hotspur FC $46 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $53K | No $12K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $28K | No $11K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $32K | Under $6.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $10K | Under $205 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.0K | Under $1.8K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.1K | Under $395 |
| Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $3.0K | No $2.8K |
| Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.4K | No $1.5K |
| VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Under $3.0K |
| Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau same side · consensus Matteo Martineau | — | — | Matteo Martineau $570 | Matteo Martineau $3.6K |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $482 | No $3.1K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.8K | No $434 |
| Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2.8K | Yes $84 |
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | — | — | Noma Noha Akugue $683 | Noma Noha Akugue $2.2K |
| Will Persijap Jepara win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.6K | No $1.2K |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $513 | No $1.5K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $800 |
| Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.0K | Under $12 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14 | No $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |