Consensus PnL $950K · win rate 79% (1299–353, n=1652) · PM monthly #411 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$950.5K
Record
1299W / 353L
Win Rate
79.0%
of 1652 settled
Batting Avg
23.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#351
Source
PM monthly #411
Record (90 d)
288/296 · 97%
Trades
4,309
Markets
3,094
Volume
$58.5M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BLiquid $5.2K · now 36¢ · in at 36¢with the consensus (44% of 9)
Specialties
1,743 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 73¢- Esports
+22 pts
side won 95% of 1232 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +6%
- NBA
+13 pts
side won 85% of 507 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 72% of 83)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 84% of 286)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 88% of 435)
- 70¢ and up: 54%(won 98% of 939)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.