Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpheyjasonRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)83% (5–1, n=6)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$33K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #734PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)73% (335 of 456 open)no open consensus position55% (57 of 104 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 4 at avg 78¢, ROI +19%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)25% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)75% (won 100% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpheyjasonRN1
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
—Leeds United FC $20K—Tottenham Hotspur FC $24
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14K—No $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11K—Yes $98
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2K—Over $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6K—Over $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.7K—Yes $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5K—Under $1
Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $16
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Over $8
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $303
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $292
Will VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.5K—No $7
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $80
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $116
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $20
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $6
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.0K—Over $159
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
—Tottenham Hotspur FC $634—Leeds United FC $2
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $463—Yes $103
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $529—Yes $4
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur
—Damir Dzumhur $332—Inaki Montes $169
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $477—Yes $4
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will Ayutthaya United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $89—Yes $108
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $108—Yes $8
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $110—Under $4
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $33
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
—Leeds United FC $39—Tottenham Hotspur FC $9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $82K—No $23K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34K—Under $7.3K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $28K—No $11K
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $17K—No $12K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $1.8K—Noma Noha Akugue $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Under $5.6K
Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5)
same side · consensus Holstein Kiel
—Holstein Kiel $8.0K—Holstein Kiel $988
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4K—No $1.5K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $1.9K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.5K—Matteo Martineau $5.2K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.1K—Under $401
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $3.1K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4K—No $535