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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$0$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #992PM monthly #10PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)76% (286 of 374 open)66% (114 of 173 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

79 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpRN1
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
Suns $3.1KSuns $2.4KSuns $545
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $928Notre Dame $25K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $9.0KOver $305
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.7KOver $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $421Over $4.7K
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $547
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8KOver $17
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0KNo $203
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2KYes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $416Over $1.7K
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KOver $109
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $1.7KJan Simonsson $4
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.7KBV Borussia 09 Dortmund $2
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $1
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Willem II Tilburg $825AZ $700
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $236
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $953Over $259
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Khaleej Saudi Club
—Al Khaleej Saudi Club $1.2KAl Riyadh Saudi Club $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524
FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Košice: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886Under $45
W50 Huamantla: Valeriya Strakhova vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Valeriya Strakhova $109Cadence Brace $799
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $874Over $18
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $755No $83
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $194No $618
Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $596Over $68
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $364Yes $125
Will Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $137Yes $194
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $151Over $2
Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
—1. FC Magdeburg $101Hertha BSC $18
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $12KBen Shelton $33K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $6.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Parma Calcio 1913
—Parma Calcio 1913 $12KParma Calcio 1913 $2.6K
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.4KNo $4.8K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $12KKnicks $2.0K
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-09-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.6KNo $6.3K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11KYes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $2.7KBianca Andreescu $8.3K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $7.9KThunder $1.3K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
—Iowa $3.8KIowa $5.2K
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.8KNo $439