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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$0$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #992PM monthly #10PM monthly #37 + pinnedPM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)75% (239 of 318 open)65% (109 of 168 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

74 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $965Notre Dame $36K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.7KOver $8—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $421Over $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8KOver $17—
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.1KNo $202—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—West Virginia $108Texas Tech $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $416Over $1.7K—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KOver $109—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.7KBV Borussia 09 Dortmund $2—
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $1—
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Willem II Tilburg $825AZ $700—
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $236—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $953Over $259—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Khaleej Saudi Club
—Al Khaleej Saudi Club $1.2KAl Riyadh Saudi Club $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $277Wizards $716—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $874Over $18—
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $755No $83—
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-09-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $194No $618—
Sharks vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Stars $628Sharks $139—
Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $596Over $68—
Will Pisa SC vs. Virtus Entella end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $137Yes $194—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $151Over $2—
Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
—1. FC Magdeburg $101Hertha BSC $18—
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $29KThunder $1.3K—
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $6.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $14KKnicks $2.2K—
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-09-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.6KNo $6.3K—
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11KYes $2.2K—
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
—Iowa $3.8KIowa $5.3K—
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
—Suns $7.3KSuns $1.4K—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $5.6K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.8KUnder $567—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KUnder $1.2K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KUnder $550—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $52No $4.4K—
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $1.9K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KUnder $276—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $1.6K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Paris FC
—Paris FC $2.3KParis FC $1.4K—