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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$0$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #992PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)89% (31 of 35 open)65% (114 of 176 open)58% (35 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
——Miami (FL) $965Notre Dame $36K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.1KNo $202
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
——West Virginia $108Texas Tech $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Thunder $277Wizards $716
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Sharks vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
——Stars $628Sharks $149
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
——Thunder $29KThunder $1.3K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $20KNo $6.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $14KKnicks $2.2K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $11KYes $2.2K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
——Iowa $3.8KIowa $5.0K
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
——Suns $7.3KSuns $1.4K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Nets $2.5KNets $291
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KUnder $885
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Magic vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $576Warriors $505
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $470Hawai'i $410
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Fresno State
——Utah State $4Utah State $394
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29