Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188eleonorrigbyFlaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)59% (10–7, n=17)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)53% (578–504, n=1082)
Consensus PnL$841K$34K$661K$634K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #922PM monthly #7PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)0% (0 of 1 open)54% (108 of 199 open)59% (48 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=653—
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)13% (won 41% of 104)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 38% of 335)25% (won 70% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 62% of 157)45% (won 78% of 370)
Entries 70¢ and up0%30% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)18% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188eleonorrigbyFlaznorpnigiri99
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $9.7K—Jazz $2.2KJazz $923
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $79K—Raptors $539Raptors $14K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $1749ers $109K
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Knicks $4Raptors $6.1K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $2.1KClippers $2.2K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $44Under $1.7K
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Knicks $135Raptors $1.6K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $622Under $614
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $854Celtics $283
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $10Under $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Mavericks $139Celtics $859
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $515Under $463
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $681Spurs $131
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $419Under $132
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $397Jazz $84
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Wizards $182Rockets $90
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5Over $133
Knicks vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Knicks
Raptors $49K——Raptors $4.2K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Celtics $5.2KCeltics $40K
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $23K—Raptors $421—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $79Over $23K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $146Mavericks $7.1K
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Clippers
——Hornets $6.5KHornets $683
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $201Over $5.8K
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $3.9KLakers $644
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.9KUnder $153
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $618Under $445
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $22Celtics $583
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Celtics $252Celtics $159