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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpjuliuscheesarnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)86% (18–3, n=21)53% (568–497, n=1065)
Consensus PnL$841K$539K$16K$613K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #7PM monthly #970PM monthly #76
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)52% (96 of 185 open)100% (1 of 1 open)59% (47 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 5% of 566)4% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 41% of 104)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 38% of 335)4% (won 100% of 1)25% (won 70% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 157)22% (won 100% of 6)45% (won 78% of 370)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 94% of 326)70% (won 100% of 19)18% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpjuliuscheesarnigiri99
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $12KJazz $1.5K—Jazz $638
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $52Team Spirit $1.1K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $11—49ers $103K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $161—Over $6.5K
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $4—Raptors $5.4K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $30—Under $1.8K
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $136—Raptors $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $135—Celtics $1.2K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $854—Celtics $285
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10—Under $1.1K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $410—Under $647
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $101—Lakers $548
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $516—Jazz $64
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Wizards $182—Rockets $90
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $194
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2K—Celtics $39K
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $30KSpurs $13——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $548—Raptors $14K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $143—Mavericks $11K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $368—Under $3.2K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Under $211
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $924—Under $294
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $446—Under $472
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $22—Celtics $571
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $236—Under $192
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $244—Celtics $154
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $187—Spurs $199
Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers
same side · consensus Pacific Tigers
—Air Force Falcons $15—Air Force Falcons $50