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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #17PM monthly #51PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)67% (312 of 469 open)0% (0 of 1 open)67% (81 of 121 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmUpTheBlues
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Zverev $12KLorenzo Musetti $20K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
Thiago Agustin Tirante $14KJan-Lennard Struff $10K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $5.2K
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $420Tom Gentzsch $902——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Will KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $974—Yes $84
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $990—Yes $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720—Over $5
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $517—CD Tenerife $45
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444Ball State $18—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23—Yes $273
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—CD Tenerife $99—FC Andorra $191
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111—Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
—CD Tarancón $11—Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42—Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $42
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24—Under $4
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270KNo $40K——
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $267KNo $2.0K——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87KNo $101K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25KOver $17K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $16KNo $15K——
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $26K——
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $315No $19K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $15K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $4.3KLaura Samson $2.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $2.6K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $713—Under $2.7K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160Under $2.5K——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $155
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311—Under $416
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40——
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14—Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $21—No $61