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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | Lunarcorona | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (424–365, n=789) | no settled market | 55% (372–304, n=676) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $376K | — | $436K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #899 | PM monthly #89 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (79 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (37 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | — | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | — | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | — | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 15) | — | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | Lunarcorona | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $3.5K | — | Houston $3.0K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | — | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.1K | — | James Madison $1.3K |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.5K | — | Vanderbilt $983 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | — | USC $2 |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $938 | — | Houston $547 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Mississippi State $393 | — | Auburn $373 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $250 | — | Mavericks $89 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $62 | — | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.3K | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | — | Kennesaw State $2.2K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Colorado | — | Colorado $257 | — | Colorado $2.5K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Under $202 |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | Vanderbilt $542 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | — | Under $5 |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $1.1K | — | Heat $46 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | — | Over $861 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $265 | — | South Carolina $546 |
| Spread: Houston (-8.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | Houston $483 | — | Houston $164 |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | — | BYU $291 | — | BYU $348 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | — | Texas A&M $23 | — | Texas A&M $524 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $445 | — | Pelicans $93 |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes same side · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $46 | — | Kraken $57 |