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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpKARIZMATIKURN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)51% (674–658, n=1332)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M-$3.2K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #803PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)63% (144 of 229 open)0% (0 of 1 open)58% (42 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=664, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%98% of 666 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)1% (won 78% of 9)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)26% (won 97% of 174)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)70% (won 98% of 464)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)3% (won 100% of 19)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpKARIZMATIKURN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K—Over $1.8K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169—Cavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $709—Over $15
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $421—Over $241
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $619—Yes $7
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $412—Under $56
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $71—Rockets $139
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $25—Rockets $146
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $39—Raptors $126
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.5K—Clement Tabur $27K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.1K—Under $4.3K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $671—Under $2.6K
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8K—No $45
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $556—Lakers $495
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
—No $265—No $667
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333—Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $364—Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $179—Rockets $369
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $504—No $34
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $186—Pistons $243
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $177—Rockets $121
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31—Under $266
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $290—No $2
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $115
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162—Raptors $116
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $77—Under $196
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41