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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $430K | $230K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (89 of 150 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 67% (116 of 173 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | Over $15K |
| Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $24 | — | Over $7.6K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | Over $5.3K |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $28 | — | Under $5.0K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $561 | — | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $6 | — | Over $4.1K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $40 | — | Under $791 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3 | — | Magic $239 |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Spurs $2 | — | Bulls $232 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7 | — | Under $121 |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Sam Houston Bearkats opposite sides · consensus Pepperdine Waves | Sam Houston Bearkats $29 | — | Pepperdine Waves $37 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $38 | — | Over $2 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4 | — | Under $9 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | Under $9 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Celtics $5 | — | Raptors $5 |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | — | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $134 | — | Raptors $26K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nuggets $59 | — | Nuggets $22K |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $279 | — | Magic $14K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $35 | — | Lakers $14K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $157 | — | Bulls $10K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15 | — | Over $9.7K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $5 | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | — | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $2 | — | Bucks $1.6K |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $76 | — | Senators $1.3K |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Boise State Broncos $42 | — | Boise State Broncos $829 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $12 | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | Over $308 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $18 | — | Over $94 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $17 | — | Raptors $73 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $16 | — | Nets $66 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $12 | — | Under $22 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $19 | — | Over $4 |