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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market48% (473–506, n=979)
Consensus PnL$590K$395K$0$437K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)59% (105 of 177 open)no open consensus position52% (35 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)—6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)—37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)—50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.1K—Over $6.7K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $121—Over $4.9K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $1.2K—Clippers $2.3K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $1.6K—Clippers $1.3K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $848
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8K—Over $58
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $21
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $1.1K—Clippers $160
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $203—Thunder $465
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $493—Over $81
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $306—Kings $88
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Golden Knights $68—Predators $309
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $138—Golden Knights $7
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $32
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $257—Clippers $16K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.1K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 209.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $298—Under $7.1K
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $211—Under $2.9K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Over $29
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $1.7K—Trail Blazers $23
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $1.1K—Trail Blazers $281
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $967—Under $7
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $536—Under $290
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $55—Under $421
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $14—Over $237
W75 Brisbane: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Carol Young Suh Lee
same side · consensus Carol Young Suh Lee
—Zhuoxuan Bai $4—Zhuoxuan Bai $120
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $78—Predators $3