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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardpaintscrel
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)53% (481–419, n=900)0% (0–3, n=3)
Consensus PnL$795K$501K$363K-$4.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #13PM monthly #7was PM monthly #954
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)47% (81 of 174 open)64% (147 of 230 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardpaintscrel
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $9.3K——Gen.G $3.7K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $358Under $8.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10Cavaliers $5.0K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637South Carolina $258—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
—San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337—
South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4Under $286—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $153—
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $229Providence Friars $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $65—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
—San Francisco Dons $92Portland State Vikings $52—
Spread: Providence Friars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
—Colorado Buffaloes $99Providence Friars $3—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2Nets $11—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $18K—
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves
—Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.8KCharleston Southern Buccaneers $3.6K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $84Under $4.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $135Cavaliers $3.8K—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $241Cavaliers $3.3K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Cavaliers $2.1K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $81Under $766—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $702—
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $38Under $632—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $181Mavericks $115—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $229—
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $121—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $56Under $112—