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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $3.5M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (225 of 330 open) | 62% (29 of 47 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $572 | Over $3.3K | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $345 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $127 | Yes $176 | No $270 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | Under $42 | Under $791 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | — | Whitney Osuigwe $1.9K | Lavinia Tanasie $5 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $290 | Carole Monnet $1.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | — | Greet Minnen $496 | Lisa Pigato $76 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $548 | — | Yes $2 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $18 | Ivan Gakhov $207 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $132 | — | Yes $3 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich | — | Murkel Dellien $38 | Juan Pablo Ficovich $46 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | — | Lorenzo Musetti $19K | Lorenzo Musetti $35K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $16K | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $499 | — | No $15K |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | Under $8.6K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse same side · consensus Nuno Borges | — | Nuno Borges $6.1K | Nuno Borges $8.8K | — |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.6K | Yes $9.9K | — |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $4.5K | No $5.0K | — |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | No $4.3K | — |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | Over $3.0K | — |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | — | Juan Bautista Torres $349 | Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | No $2.0K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Renata Zarazua $381 | Renata Zarazua $765 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $343 | — | Under $768 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $364 | — | Under $601 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $270 | Over $686 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $515 | Under $35 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez same side · consensus Sofia Johnson | — | Sofia Johnson $92 | Sofia Johnson $213 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $138 | — | Yes $65 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $6 | — | No $60 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | — | Yes $2 |