Consensus PnL $100K · win rate 78% (220–61, n=281) · PM monthly #713 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$100.4K
Record
220W / 61L
Win Rate
78.0%
of 281 settled
Batting Avg
77.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#523
Source
PM monthly #713
Record (90 d)
192/209 · 92%
Trades
1,665
Markets
413
Volume
$2.8M
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Specialties
256 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 63¢- Esports
+31 pts
side won 93% of 229 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +19%
- MMA
+26 pts
side won 96% of 27 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +18%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 56% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 87% of 52)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 95% of 120)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 99% of 75)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.