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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| donube | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $3.6M | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #191 + pinned | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (135 of 170 open) | 76% (102 of 135 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | donube | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $20K | No $319 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.5K | No $395 | — | — |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $195 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | No $624 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $628 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $64 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Athletic Club $218 |
| Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $312 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $230 | — | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $132 | — | Yes $3 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | No $53K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $26K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $499 | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $337 | — | Under $755 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $8 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | — | Under $595 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |