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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pIebe | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (730–307, n=1037) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $3.7M | $4.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #203 + pinned | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (131 of 164 open) | 69% (269 of 392 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pIebe | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $17K | Under $6.4K | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $20K | No $333 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.6K | No $215 | — | — |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $146 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $593 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | No $231 | — | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $64 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $172 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $141 | — | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $137 | — | Yes $2 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | No $54K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $26K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $489 | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $191 | — | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $319 | — | Under $718 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Over $7 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | — | Under $595 |
| Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $720 | No $100 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $52 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $129 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |