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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| democraticbroom | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 50% (26154–25785, n=51939) |
| Consensus PnL | $70K | $4.1M | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #411 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 74% (143 of 194 open) | 57% (89 of 155 open) | 66% (39 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
50 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | democraticbroom | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | Under $20K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | Under $67 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $33K | No $549 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.7K | — | No $15K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $17K | No $801 | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Under $670 | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $10K | Under $2 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.1K | Yes $643 | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $6.8K | Olympique de Marseille $1 | — |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04 | — | FC Schalke 04 $4.5K | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $152 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $752 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Brown Bears $299 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $686 | — | No $929 |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | No $2 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $757 | Under $206 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka | — | FK Kolos Kovalivka $217 | — | FK Polissia $270 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | Under $7 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $280 | — | Yes $6 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $200 | Under $46 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $109K | No $33K | — |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $27K | No $21K | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8.8K | Over $27K | — |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $18K | Under $12K | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $16K | — |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | Over $10K | — |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $5.4K | Chiefs $14K | — |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $13K | CD Cobresal $3.5K | — |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | Club Atlético de Madrid $1.4K | — |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.6K | No $4.4K | — |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.7K | No $2.9K | — |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.0K | No $2.8K | — |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $6.0K | No $5 | — |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.9K | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | No $546 | — |