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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$3.0M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (196 of 309 open)no open consensus position55% (102 of 185 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
—Real Madrid CF $24K—AEK $4.7K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.7K—Under $15K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Learner Tien $11K—Luca Van Assche $59
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $2.6K—Tomas Machac $3.1K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Henri Haupt $864—Alexandre Aubriot $2.5K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $2.1K—Joanna Garland $1.2K
Seoul Knights vs. Daegu Pegasus
opposite sides · consensus Daegu Pegasus
—Daegu Pegasus $3.0K—Seoul Knights $49
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $2.7K—Ignacio Buse $129
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $10
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $1.6K—Isabella Shinikova $4
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Ignacio Parisca $320—Eric Vanshelboim $663
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $380—Yes $501
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $89—Yes $691
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $306—Under $333
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $533—Grizzlies $3
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $311—No $147
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
opposite sides · consensus Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
—Spartak Moscow $13—Lokomotiv Yaroslavl $437
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $387—Yes $23
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $190—Franziska Sziedat $213
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $12—Thunder $251
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $210—Deborah Chiesa $18
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Iliyan Radulov $139—Bruno Pujol Navarro $67
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $143—Over $28
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
—Tomas Curras Abasolo $137—Robert Guna $24
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $137—Yes $6
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Leonid Sheyngezikht $140—Aren Baybars $2
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Gaia Maduzzi $72—Lisa Pigato $46
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52—Under $43
M25 Heraklion: Oskari Paldanius vs Pablo Perez Ramos
opposite sides · consensus Pablo Perez Ramos
—Oskari Paldanius $63—Pablo Perez Ramos $23
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
—Esport Academy Copenhagen $8—EYEBALLERS $37
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Tena Lukas $2—Pia Lovric $37
W15 Monastir: Pauline Gloeckner vs Sophie Ehrenbergerova
opposite sides · consensus Pauline Gloeckner
—Pauline Gloeckner $17—Sophie Ehrenbergerova $16
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $31—Michael Wright $3
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $18K—Lorenzo Musetti $10K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $19K—Tommy Paul $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $11K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.1K—No $1.7K
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
—Nicolas Kicker $5.8K—Nicolas Kicker $741
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1K—Over $29
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $4.3K—Jeline Vandromme $96
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.8K—Yes $1.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $648
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.2K—Yes $34
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $69—Giannicola Misasi $1.7K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K—Juan Bautista Torres $217
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $694—Yes $986
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—Yes $65
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $12
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
—Joaquin Aguilar $1.1K—Joaquin Aguilar $272