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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpNeimukingRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)64% (71–40, n=111)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$26K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #13was PM monthly #847PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (283 of 412 open)100% (2 of 2 open)62% (53 of 85 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%66% of 103 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)17% (won 33% of 18)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)54% (won 61% of 56)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)28% (won 97% of 29)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpNeimukingRN1
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13K—No $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.4K—Robin Montgomery $271
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.2K—Yes $4
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $656—Magda Linette $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.3K—No $56
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Burgos CF vs. Celta Fortuna: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Under $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $109—No $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $142—Over $1.3K
Will Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2K—No $185
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $32—Yes $601
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $201—No $415
Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $35—Yes $324
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $243—Over $59
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Exact Score: Málaga CF 1 - 2 Real Racing Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $51—No $37
Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 2 Real Racing Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $39—No $39
Burgos CF vs. Celta Fortuna: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $10
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $52K—No $18K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $589—Noma Noha Akugue $25K
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $1.7K—Jerome Kym $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.5K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $868—Toby Samuel $11K
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.4K—Under $5.6K
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.1K—Under $1.7K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.7K—No $266
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.3K—Under $346
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6K—No $597
Burgos CF vs. Celta Fortuna: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.0K—Under $29
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.7K—Over $757
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $679—No $2.5K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $977—Over $1.6K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.5K—Under $10
Will Muglaspor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $45
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $5
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $313—No $1.2K
Manchester City WFC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $520—Under $672
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Under $112
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $363—Under $649
Will Celta Fortuna win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $398—No $565
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20