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OverUnder
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100UnderOver
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Manchester City WFC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Under 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$519.43
Combined PnL
-$253.02
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares288
Combined PnL-$253.02
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Under — 75%Over — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 54.1¢ | $430.56 | $519.43 | +$88.87 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 54.1¢ | $281.02 | $519.43 | +$238.41 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 45.5¢ | $149.54 | — | -$149.54 | |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 47.7¢ | $124.59 | — | -$241.35 | 50% 21821-22062 (43883) |
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100 | Underavg 43.2¢ | $11.46 | — | -$11.67 | 53% 2714-2387 (5101) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Overavg 54.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 26504-26107 (52611) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 48.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$430.56
Value
$519.43
PnL
+$88.87
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Both legs:
Over$281.0254.1¢+$238.41
Under$149.5445.5¢-$149.54
OM
omnibus-076daaCTRInvested
$124.59
Value
—
PnL
-$241.35
Record
50%
21821-22062 (43883)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100Invested
$11.46
Value
—
PnL
-$11.67
Record
53%
2714-2387 (5101)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
26504-26107 (52611)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e3c849f...ded252
Slug
wsl-mci-whu-2026-11-07-total-3pt5