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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardnigiri99PuckaBegemotaZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)54% (448–384, n=832)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$332K$426K$25K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #104PM monthly #836was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensus68% (90 of 132 open)43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 37% of 79)—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 68)24% (won 59% of 138)—15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 127)43% (won 72% of 243)—37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 15)19% (won 98% of 107)—46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardnigiri99PuckaBegemotaZzzz87
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K——
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K——
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $3.1KNets $13——
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
Indiana $2.5KUSC $2——
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983——
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
Ohio State $450Northwestern $2.0K——
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Mississippi State $392Auburn $370——
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
Alabama $63Vanderbilt $13——
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12KOver $1.5K——
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $90—Mavericks $6.3K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State $2.8KKennesaw State $1.3K——
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.1K——
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5KUnder $200——
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K——
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7KUnder $5——
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $1.1KHeat $47——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $1.1KColts $3——
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6Over $870——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
South Carolina $263South Carolina $542——
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
BYU $297BYU $355——
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—Team Falcons $609—Team Falcons $20
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $459Pelicans $96——
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524——
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
Kraken $41Kraken $51——