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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1omnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.0M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #140PM monthly #55PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus68% (182 of 266 open)73% (33 of 45 open)55% (84 of 154 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daaprimm
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K—Yes $114—
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo $8.7K—Grêmio FBPA $3—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K—
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $101—Yes $3.0K—
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $375—Under $1.4K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $10—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.1K—Yes $393—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286—Leyre Romero Gormaz $740—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89—Yes $691—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $519—Under $203—
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $296—Under $342—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $220—Wizards $331—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $538—Grizzlies $3—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Mika Stojsavljevic $37—Zeynep Sonmez $454—
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444——Ball State $18
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $387—Yes $23—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $197—Over $140—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $251—Yes $71—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $297—No $7—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $21—Under $273—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $11—Thunder $269—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $257—Over $5—
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $196—Sabres $15—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $150—Over $38—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143—Over $28—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52—Under $43—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
Justina Mikulskyte $2—Tiphanie Lemaitre $89—
Mogi das Cruzes vs. Fortaleza Basquete Cearense
opposite sides · consensus Fortaleza Basquete Cearense
Fortaleza Basquete Cearense $45—Mogi das Cruzes $34—
M15 Trois-Rivières: Louis Wessels vs Aadarsh Tripathi
opposite sides · consensus Aadarsh Tripathi
Louis Wessels $3—Aadarsh Tripathi $17—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $4—Pelicans $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.6K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3K—No $11K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $896—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.3K—No $173—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220—Wizards $3.9K—
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7K—Yes $249—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K—Yes $322—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $333——Eastern Michigan $2.0K
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.1K—Celtics $170—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $18—
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $82—Giannicola Misasi $2.0K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $1.6K—Pistons $42—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $28—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $1—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $595—Lakers $607—
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
same side · consensus BC Aris Thessaloniki
Hapoel Jerusalem $998—Hapoel Jerusalem $159—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $973—No $106—
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $919—No $142—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
same side · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $823—Maxwell McKennon $210—