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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Pan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)63% (993–578, n=1571)65% (4374–2320, n=6694)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$23K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #97was PM monthly #979PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus70% (188 of 268 open)73% (60 of 82 open)48% (44 of 91 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1Pan9Xprimm
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $67—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $81—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $541—No $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $111—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $60—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $361—Over $154—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116—
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $348—Yes $7—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $259—Hull City AFC $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $211—Over $6—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $172—Lions $29—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $107—Over $14—
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $79—Yes $2—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $60—Over $13—
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40—No $4—
W15 Szabolcsveresmart: Melinda Biro vs Emese Serkedi
opposite sides · consensus Emese Serkedi
Melinda Biro $15—Emese Serkedi $7—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12—No $4—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $3—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3Under $30K——
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $40—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $13K—Alexandra Eala $11—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $52—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $6.6K—Anna Blinkova $33—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $6.6KUnder $2—
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K—No $4—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.1K—Over $8—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $105—
W50 Heraklion: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
Martha MATOULA $2.3K—Martha MATOULA $3—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
same side · consensus BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
SV 07 Elversberg $1.4K—SV 07 Elversberg $7—
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $972—No $3—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $780—Over $13—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489—No $247—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $613—Under $2—
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $108—No $36—
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7—Under $12—