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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1rrooster
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #931
Sides with the consensus70% (131 of 186 open)0% (0 of 1 open)61% (43 of 70 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——MLB ±0 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%65% of 1998 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 15% of 126)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)23% (won 46% of 459)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)37% (won 64% of 749)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)33% (won 90% of 664)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1rrooster
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $376KYes $2.1MNo $54K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $11K—Carlos Alcaraz $12KCarlos Alcaraz $1.0K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $26K—Yes $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10K—No $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.4K—Over $16—
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.9K—Yes $172—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.8K—Over $972—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $225——76ers $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $32—
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chelsea FC
Chelsea FC $1.3K—Sunderland AFC $3—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $116K—Yes $16K—
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
Sunderland AFC $50K—Sunderland AFC $4.7K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $5.9K—Toby Samuel $31K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $22K—No $14K—
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $12K—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $8.8K—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $15K—No $4.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will AC Monza win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $9.4K—No $663—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.7K—Over $3.3K—
Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.6K—No $3.9K—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.3K—No $475—
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.3K—Under $903—
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $25—
AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $766—Over $912—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $29—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $40—Yes $5—